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TIPT Q3 2016 Earnings Call Transcript

Executives: Sandra Bell - CFO Michael Barnes - Executive Chairman Jonathan Ilany - CEO

Analysts: Andrew Cowen - Badge Investment Partners

Operator: Greetings and welcome to Tiptree Financial Third Quarter 2016 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to turn the call over to your host, Sandra Bell, Chief Financial Officer. Thank you. You may begin.

Sandra Bell: Good morning and welcome to our third quarter 2016 earnings call. I am joined today by our Executive Chairman, Michael Barnes and CEO, Jonathan Ilany. We have posted the earnings release and presentation on our website at tiptreefinancial.com. Our remarks today are qualified in their entirety by the disclaimers on page one of the presentation. Prior to turning the call over to Michael, I just want to highlight a few of the key disclosures. This presentation supplements our SEC filings and is provided solely for information purposes. Throughout the presentation, there are forward-looking statements. Our businesses are subject to risks and uncertainties which are outlined in our SEC filings, and which could impact our expectations of future results. Except as required by the securities laws, we undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statements. We also use non-GAAP measures which we believe provide additional information about our business and are useful to investors. As these measures are not GAAP, they should not be used as a substitute for GAAP disclosures. The appendix provides a reconciliation of each of these measures to their GAAP equivalent. Now, let me turn the call over to Michael.

Michael Barnes: Thanks, Sandra. Good morning, everyone and thank you for joining us today. For the quarter, we continue to see positive trends across our businesses. On a consolidated basis, total revenues for the quarter grew 11% year-over-year to 134 million, while contributing nearly 8 million of net income and 20 million of adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations. Both of these financial metrics were up significantly versus comparable periods in 2015. As we have mentioned before, our focus in our core businesses is to support growth and repeatable earning and we are pleased to see that trend has continued in the third quarter. On page 3, we summarize some of our key achievements. Fortegra, our specialty insurance subsidiary, continues to have a strong year. For the nine month, insurance and warranty written premiums grew to 540 million, up 8% versus the prior year. Net written business was 152 million, which was an increase of 16%, reflecting a modest uptick in the underwriting risk that we are choosing to retain. At Fortegra, we remain focused on growing underwriting profit through increasing net written premiums, fee earnings and income from investing the excess premium flow. For the quarter, we also had strong contributions from our real estate, credit and mortgage businesses. Care, our senior’s housing business, contributed nearly 16 million of revenues, while expanding NOI margins, as actions we have taken to improve property occupancy levels and stabilize costs continue to show positive results. In August, we closed our third acquisition of the year for a total consideration of 29 million, which brought our total aggregate purchase price of Care’s portfolio to nearly 318 million. The senior housing pipeline remains strong and we anticipate continued growth through new acquisition and through NOI improvements at existing properties. Our Telos asset management business continues to produce steady cash flow as we have received nearly 10 million of cash from management fees year-to-date. In the third quarter, we invested an additional 25 million in the Telos Credit Opportunities Fund and increased its borrowing capacity to 150 million. Our assets under management remain at just under 2 billion and we are continuing to explore opportunities to raise funds for other vehicles or managed accounts. In the quarter, we continued to see positive results from our principal investment, which yielded nearly 10 million of revenue, bringing the total to 32 million for the year. These investments consisting primarily of our CLO subordinated notes, credit investments and non-performing loans have been a consistent contributor this year to our growth and profit. Within our specialty finance segment, the mortgage business continue to perform well, originating 566 million of volume for the quarter, up 31% over the second quarter. A stable housing market and low interest rates were key drivers for the increase, as refinancings and the home selling season supported origination. At Tiptree, we evaluate our capital deployment opportunities in three categories; investing in our existing businesses, acquiring new and adjacent businesses and creating shareholder value through buybacks and dividends. As we previously announced, within the quarter, we purchased 1 million of Tiptree shares at a 37% discount to book. For the year, we have repurchased 6.8 million shares or 16% of the total outstanding shares as of 2015 year end. Share buybacks combined with 4 million of dividends brings us to nearly 48f million returned to shareholders thus far in 2016. If you flip to the next page, you can see the progress we have made in driving repeatable growth this year. Book value per share, as exchanged, has grown to $9.93, which represents an 11.6% increase since year end 2015. Year-over-year improvement in earnings has been the biggest driver of the increase in addition to the share buyback at significant discounts to book. The total number of A and B shares outstanding now stands at 36.4 million, which equates to 361 million of book value and 520 million of total enterprise value. We are pleased with our earnings and adjusted EBITDA trend over the past year. Each of our subsidiaries is contributing and we are optimistic that we'll continue to see growth in our core businesses throughout the remainder of this year and into 2017. With that, I will hand it back to Sandra who will discuss the financials in more detail.

Sandra Bell: Thank you, Michael. Let me quickly cover the highlights before we transition to the detailed performance review. For the quarter, Tiptree reported net income from continuing operations of 7.8 million, up 14.2 million over the third quarter last year. On a per share basis, earnings per class A share were $0.19, up $0.32 versus third quarter 2015. The year-over-year improvement was a result of increased earnings in our asset management, real estate and specialty finance segments as well as the increased revenues from principal investments that Michael just mentioned. This was partially offset by declines in Fortegra net revenues due to pressures in the mobile protection products. Year-to-date earnings per share were $0.53, up 83% from 2015. On page 6, we’ve laid out the components of our year-to-date 2016 operating performance. As you look at the chart, each segment has contributed significant top line growth and increases in profitability. In total, revenue has grown 89 million; pretax income from continuing operations was up 39 million and adjusted EBITDA from continuing operations increased by 36 million versus the 9 months in 2015. The high level themes are similar to prior quarters. Fortegra’s profits have increased, driven by growth in written premium, investment income and margin expansions stemming from disciplined cost control. Our senior housing performance is up, as NOI margins have improved at existing properties and acquisitions have increased our overall revenues. While depreciation and amortization from acquisitions initially dampens profits as the portfolio grows. Improvements in volumes and margins in the mortgage business along with growth in CMS loan portfolio drove positive results in specialty finance and principal investments are up substantially, primarily driven by realized and unrealized gains as well as improved earnings as a result of growth in investments in the Credit Opportunities Fund and NPL, all of which have helped to offset increased corporate costs. Turning to page 8, we highlight several metrics that we used to measure our insurance segment. The as adjusted net revenue and EBITDA measures are non-GAAP measures, because they removed the purchase accounting adjustments from their comparable GAAP metrics. We use these metrics to analyze the relative performance of the business year-over-year. For the quarter, adjusted EBITDA was 11.6 million, down 12% from prior year results and up slightly over the second quarter 2016. The reduction year-over-year was driven by competitive pressures in the mobile protection product impacting net revenue. As we've mentioned in the past, this was a result of contractual changes in the second and third quarters of 2015 and as of the current quarter, we believe a more normalized run rate is reflected in our results. This decline was partially offset by increases in investment income as well as growth in specialty product, earned premiums and fees. The combined ratio of 92% remains strong relative to property and casualty insurance peers as the team maintains a disciplined approach to expense management. Year-to-date, Fortegra’s performance has improved with credit protection continuing its stable growth trends and specialty products more than offsetting the decline in mobile protection revenues mentioned earlier. Net written premiums, a volume metric and leading indicator of future revenue has increased by 16% with all three product lines contributing to the growth. Adjusted EBITDA of 35 million is up 15% over last year as margins have expanded by approximately 360 basis points. Fortegra continues to deliver a solid performance year-to-date despite experiencing four cat events that resulted in over 3,400 claims and paid losses exceeding 11 million. Given Fortegra’s approach to risk management, where they seed a large proportion of the risk to reinsure and share profits or losses with the distributors of our product, we have experienced minimal impact to our bottom line as our partners have absorbed a significant amount of the losses. Going forward, we expect earnings growth to be supported by expansion in product revenues and investment income along with a continued focus on maintaining margins by tightly managing costs. Turning to real estate on the following page. We continue to see improvements both as a result of additional acquisitions and improving margins on existing properties. Pre-tax income improved by 82% in the quarter versus the same period in 2015 and was up 37% year to date despite added depreciation from new acquisitions. Total accumulated depreciation is 34.6 million as of the end of the quarter, more than 10% of total segment asset. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was 2.9 million, up significantly from last year driven by NOI increases of 32%. The acquisitions over the last two years were primarily managed properties where we partner with existing operators on facilities that are undergoing enhancement to allow them to operate more efficiently. On the bottom left of the page, you can see the improvements today as NOI margins on managed properties are up from 24.5% to just over 20%. As the newer facilities ramp up and stabilize, we expect our results to continue to improve. In addition to growing organically, we are continuing to invest and we expect to acquire additional properties in the fourth quarter of 2016 and into 2017. On page 10, we highlight the contributions for our asset management business and CLO investments. Third quarter 2016 pretax income related to our management fees was up over a million, primarily attributable to incentive fees on our older CLOs. Additionally, our CLO equity performance improved by 7.5 million over third quarter 2015 driven by increased distributions and recovery of prior unrealized credit marks on our subordinated notes in Telos 5 and 6. For the nine months, earnings from management fees and distributions net of unrealized losses is just over 17 million, up 16 million from 2015 impacted by similar factors to those in the quarter. As Michael mentioned earlier, we are continuing to pursue growth opportunities in our asset management sector. This year, we have launched our seventh CLO and further invested in our credit opportunity strategy. As we go forward, we expect to leverage the historical performance of Telos to continue to grow assets under management. Now I will pass it back to Michael for wrap.

Michael Barnes: We are very encouraged by results to the first three quarters of 2016. Our performance relative to 2015 is quite favorable even when taking into consideration the previous year's gain on discontinued operation. We remain focused on growing repeatable earnings in our core businesses. Our insurance sector was ahead of expectation and we believe that net revenues will continue to grow through increased product origination and return on the investment pool. Our real estate sector made further acquisitions of senior care facilities and continues to increase revenue and NOI. Our asset management sector is stable and in addition to CLOs, we are optimistic that leveraging our performance in the credit opportunities fund will allow us to raise additional capital in other fund vehicles or managed account. And importantly, we remain focused on driving additional progress on this year’s objective of exiting non-core underperforming assets, we allocating that capital to existing core businesses and further building out our infrastructure. With that we would like to open the line for question.

Operator: [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Andrew Cowen with Badge Investment Partners. Please proceed with your question.

Andrew Cowen: Just two quick questions. Going back to the CLO and assets management business, did I hear that right, it’s about 17 million of repeatable fees and income year to date?

Michael Barnes: Did you have a second question Andrew, before I’d…

Andrew Cowen: The second question is, what’s the [indiscernible] in the insurance business?

Jonathan Ilany: $225 million.

Michael Barnes: So the answer to the second question, Andrew, is $225 million regarding the flow of our insurance business that we are now overseeing and investing. With regard to the first question, I'm going to turn that to Sandra to answer the question. And the question just to repeat is the repeatable earnings in our asset management business as well as CLO investment that we see as linked to our asset.

Sandra Bell: If you turn to page 10, we’d break down the pretax income and loss on attributable to the CLO business. And when we talk about the repeatable earnings, it’s the management fees and distributions. That's where you get in the range of that $17 million on…

Andrew Cowen: Definitely is great number. Do you guys have released the average yields you're earning on the float [ph] or is that's something you don’t talk about?

Michael Barnes: We generally don’t reveal what the average yield is on the float, take it, incorporate it as part of decrease overall on capital and incorporated into the returns of the Tiptree. So you'll see that in the bottom line as Tiptree as we increase return on capital. Sandra, do you have anything to add to that?

Sandra Bell: I just will point out that there is a line item in the insurance company that’s called investment income and you can the growth in that year-over-year. So that will give you an idea of the trend and the relative yield.

Andrew Cowen: Okay, I see that. That’s actually very helpful, thank you, Sandra. And great job on the buybacks guys, keep them up. It looks like we got still plenty of sellers out there with stupid low prices.

Michael Barnes: \ Thank you Andrew, I think your focus on our objective of creating repeatable income, I think you picked up on that accurately. Share buyback, we’ll pursue opportunistically, I think we’ve been fortunate with share buyback that we've done. And with regard to float that has been a priority coming into this year of Jonathan Ilany and myself to not only increase float but to increase the return on float and we see positive trends in that. Thank you for your comments very, very appreciative.

Operator: [Operator Instructions] Ladies and gentlemen, we have reached the end of our question-and-answer session, I would now like to turn the call back to Sandra Bell for closing comment.

Sandra Bell: Thank you and thanks everyone for joining us today. If you have any questions, please feel free to reach out to me directly. We look forward to speaking with you again after the fourth quarter results are in. This concludes our conference call.

Operator: This concludes today's call, thank you for your participation. You may disconnect your lines at this time.